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šŸ“Š ā€œRetail Traders Are Dominating 2025 — And It’s All About Smart Timing and Smart Picksā€ 🚨🚨🚨


Retail traders aren’t just surviving 2025 — they’re crushing it. According to new analysis from JPMorgan, everyday investors are outperforming major benchmarks like the S&P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), thanks to a mix of sharp timing, strong conviction in tech, and bold moves in alternative assets.


ETFs: The Powerhouse of Retail Portfolios


JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain notes that 75% of retail money this year went into ETFs, and that’s exactly where retail’s edge emerged:


  • A heavy tech bias helped outperform SPY and QQQ.

  • Bold buying in precious metals ETFs during the September–October ā€œgold rushā€ paid off.

  • Demand for GLD surged as traders chased alternative momentum trades.


Nailing the AI/Tech Timing


Retail traders showed unusually good timing earlier in the year:


  • Between January and April, retail piled into AI and Tech names during three separate ā€œbuy-the-dipā€ moments.

  • After May, they shifted away from single stocks and rotated into trending ETFs.

  • Their single-stock holdings remain closely correlated to JPMorgan’s AI Data Center & Electrification basket, meaning retail is strongly positioned in the AI boom.


Even With Volatility, Retail Still Wins


The sharp pullback in speculative AI stocks from mid-October hit performance — but not enough to erase gains:


  • Retail’s performance still beats simply dollar-cost averaging into QQQ.

  • Before volatility kicked in, retail favorites were on a record winning streak in late Q3.


Why This Matters for the U.S. Economy


Retail trading isn’t just a sideshow — it’s influencing the broader economy:


  • Strong consumer spending has held up even as unemployment rises and tariffs increase.

  • Analysts believe this resilience is partly due to retail traders profiting from market swings.

  • On April 3, retail logged its biggest net buy day in over a decade, stepping in right after reciprocal tariffs triggered a market selloff.

  • That aggressive dip-buying turned retail investors into major beneficiaries of the rebound from the mid-February to early-April slump.


Retail traders are proving that conviction, trend-spotting, and smart timing can beat the market — and their success is now large enough to echo through the entire U.S. economy. If 2024 was the setup, 2025 is turning into the year retail takes the crown.

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